As the Westphalian nation state fails and climate rises, a question that arises is “Where can be safe?” This, of course, can be a rather loaded question, given the instabilities that unfold as millions of refugees run for safety. Places that seem stable and peaceful for now may become less so as populations shift. Likewise, there is the risk of neutral places becoming drawn into wars and armed conflict by less stable neighbors. However, some places in the world have the geography, culture, and resilience to weather the disasters of a shifting planet.
-New Zealand:
New Zealand is the highest ranked Commonwealth country in the democracy index.
It also has mountains that provide reliable hydroelectric power and water for
drinking and agriculture. The low density makes it a good place for farming and
outdoor sports and has a more relaxed, informal culture. Unlike Australia,
their geography enables farming without excessive chemical use (although
pollution is a rising problem, especially agricultural runoff). Refugees from
Pacific islands may pose another issue as sea levels rise. Earthquakes and
volcanic eruptions (including the supervolcano under Lake Taupo) could be
another issue.
-Northern
Europe: By this, I roughly refer to the Scandinavian countries, Germany, and
perhaps Switzerland. The German economy is shifting towards renewables and
remains a powerhouse for technology and research. Norway also steered clear of
the disaster that was the Eurozone, and wisely invests its oil money into
public infrastructure and resources. Issues, however, are strict (read:
practically nonexistent) immigration protocols, meaning it is good for people
who are already there. As climate change occurs, I imagine those immigration
controls will get stricter.
-Cascadia: Cascadia
is Washington and Oregon in the US with British Columbia in Canada. This region
has water from the nearby mountains, as well as abundant hydropower. Drawbacks
include a few nuclear reactors there (as well as being downwind of Fukushima). This
area is beautiful and likewise has a tech-driven economy. Unlike California,
they have water resources less dependent than the increasingly depleted
aquifers of the American Southwest. Likewise, Seattle invested in an edible
garden, while other cities have not. The public transit systems in the urban
areas tend to be better than many more suburban sprawl belts (such as LA).
-New England: New
England is another decent region in North America, given its white-collar
economy and natural resources. In particular, Vermont appeals the most to
myself, given its drive towards self sufficiency and lack of more obnoxious
laws. Drawbacks include a number of nuclear reactors active in the region,
especially given the large population along the US East Coast and near the
Great Lakes. However, ocean acidification may mean traditional fishing becomes
increasingly less viable.
However, even
Canada is sliding into an oligarchic petro-state, complete with repression and
censorship of research. Maybe in a few decades time, Russia may be a prosperous
and free society. No place is truly safe, but those places are where I would
bet on being relatively stable compared to other parts of the world. Better to find a resilient community today.
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